May 19, 2009

Destructive Creation

The term “Creative Destruction” was coined by Joseph Schumpeter in his book "Capitalism, Socialism and Democracy" to denote a "process of industrial mutation that incessantly revolutionizes the economic structure from within, incessantly destroying the old one, incessantly creating a new one."
Flowers in burned forest
While Schumpeter was focused on innovation and its impact on mainstream companies, the current economic crisis can also be seen as a process of “Destructive Creation”, with destruction coming before creation.               

According to many economists this is not an ordinary downturn, the contraction under way reflects a fundamental restructuring of the American economy. In crucial industries — particularly manufacturing, financial services and retail — many companies are exiting whole areas of business.

Many of the businesses that are failing or being left behind are actually very good businesses that have simply been ruined by greed, poor management, and obsolete business models.

In fact, companies like AIG, Citibank, GM, Chrysler and GE, who represent some of the world’s large conglomerates, arguably existed only because a booming stock market, easy credit and financial derivatives enabled them grow to dominance. These companies may cease to exist but the need for their products and business lines do not.

The collapse of large companies or their exit from “unprofitable” lines of business can lead to a flowering of innovation and company formation as new businesses spring up to take the place of the former monoliths.

Life, death, and rebirth are the endless cycle that defines and confines our world and us. Losing your job or seeing a business fail can feel a lot like the end as you watch everything you have built, your hopes and your plans seemingly dissipate and disappear. When a company closes or shutters divisions, it is the end for that organization, and may also be for employees and business partners.

Life as we know it has changed, whether you are an engineer or a Wall Street tycoon. Anytime there is significant unexpected change, you have insecurity. When there is fear, people naturally hunker down. What is unclear is how much of the slump is cyclical and how much reflects a permanent change in business and consumer behavior.

While we may regret the passing of an Chrysler, or GM, their demise will set the stage for the beginning of a new cycle. Just like the fruit of an apple tree that rots on the ground, fertilizing the seeds contained within, starts a new cycle of life, growth, and production.

Now is the time to shed fear and embrace these troubling times as a great opportunity to put the country and ourselves back on a rational path to prosperity.

April 21, 2009

21st Century Careers – Back to the Future

“American’s have a peculiar aptitude for mechanical improvements, which along with their spirit of enterprise will someday make the American economy the admiration and envy of the world”
Alexander Hamilton, Report on Manufactures - 1791

Alexander Hamilton almost single-handedly invented the American financial system by persuading the first US Congress to consolidate all state debt into  a single national debt, create a national bank, and issue currency.  Page_careers

Hamilton believed that manufacturing was the key to the prosperity for the new United States and also recognized the need for a strong financial system to finance and support the expansion of production.

The recent era of financial engineering represented a repudiation of production as the basis for prosperity, substituting consumption in exchange. Hamilton is probably still turning over in his grave, but at least now there are signs of a return to his core principles.

According to an article in the New York Times titled With Finance Disgraced, Which Career Will Be King? “A new pattern of occupational choice seems to be emerging. Public service, government, the sciences and even teaching look to be winners, while fewer shiny, young minds are embarking on careers in finance and business consulting.”

University of Texas at Dallas (UTD) Enrollment – a leading indicator?

Is student enrollment in UTD’s engineering school a leading indicator of a significant shift in the value frameworks of young adults?

Recently, we had the honor of visiting with the new Dean and several faculty members at the University of Texas – Dallas (UTD) School of Engineering and Computer Science. We were very surprised to learn the Mechanical Engineering Department is their fastest growing department.

UTD’s Mechanical Engineer Department is less than one year old, but already has about 40 students. Enrollments by fall 2010 are projected to nearly quadruple the number of ME students to over 150. By the fall of 2011, enrollment is expected to quadruple again to more than 600.

We met with Dean Mark W. Spong, until recently the Director of the Center for Autonomous Engineering Systems and Robotics at Illinois University. Dean Spong told us UTD is seeing dramatically increased interest in science and engineering, especially Mechanical Engineering, Materials Science, and BioEngineering. He attributes much of this to recent economic trends and changes in the psychology of enrolling freshmen. Dean Spong mentioned three fields in which student’s perceive increased career opportunities:

1.    Medical
2.    Energy
3.    Green / Ecological Efficiency

These fields are fertile ground for engineering and science majors and represent global technology markets that require mechanical engineering education and skills. They are also top priorities of the Obama administration and are receiving the greatest amount of funding from the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act.

History as a Lesson for the Future

During The Great Depression, Roosevelt put the nation back to work through the Works Process Administration and the tens of thousands of newly employed Americans that proceeded to build or rebuild countless schools, libraries, railroads, highways, and bridges including the Hoover Dam.

Science and Engineering also led the way during the space race and man’s landing on the moon. In those days, they were glamorous fields that attracted the best and brightest. The innovators of this age went on to create the technologies that define our civilization today.

Science and engineering represent the backbone of the American Dream, with the recent diversion into financial engineering clearly a “bridge to nowhere.” Engineers do interesting and important work, are well-paid and well thought of in their communities and make a difference to people and society as a whole.

That’s Why They Call it Work
During the early 70’s when I was choosing a career, money and stability were important since I already had a wife and baby. I wanted to do something that was also challenging and that would also support my family. I chose Computer Science because it was the closest thing to Robotics offered by my local community college.

I have always believed that you had to do real work, make a real contribution, in order to have a rewarding and secure career. For me real work is hard, it takes a lot of passion, commitment and perseverance, but it is worth it. Real work creates something that is real, something that is valuable and useful to others, that improves their lives by solving real problems or creating new opportunities.

In my experience, the greatest rewards are found in the work when it is done, rather than when it is being done. When you make or build something that has real value to others the rewards from seeing them use it to are much greater than money.

March 14, 2009

Uncle Sam NEEDS You!

Ask not what your country can do for you;
ask what you can do for your country.
John Fitzgerald Kennedy

Uncle Sam
In February, another 168,000 manufacturing jobs were eliminated, bringing losses over the last year to 1.2 million. In Michigan, where the troubles of the auto industry have been particularly traumatic, the unemployment rate is at 10.6 percent, the highest of any state.

President Obama responded to the figures by declaring that “this country has never responded to a crisis by sitting on the sidelines and hoping for the best”.

Folks, we have gone awry in our haste to embrace a service economy and outsource manufacturing.

According to Doug Noland, the Portfolio Manager for Federated Prudent Bear, “the U.S. is doomed unless it rebuilds its manufacturing base. To really turn things around, we need to build an economy where we can produce things, and there is very little being done today that addresses this fundamental requirement. Unfortunately, over many years we had gotten to the point that all we were trading for imports were financial claims."

The expectation for people to be disciplined, focused and responsible has become increasingly rare in this world. We have to seriously look at fundamentally rebuilding the economy. We’ve got to use this moment to shift our mindset in a direction that breeds success.

Product Design Entrepreneurs
You have probably heard how web-based and iPhone software development companies can now be formed and launched with little or no capital investment due to the proliferation of software component technology and open source software. Many software companies are now starting without venture capital, and are financing themselves from savings or small investments from friends and family.

You may not be aware that the sames trends that are benefiting web and iPhone developers are now paying off for engineers, inventors and product innovators. They now have the ability to assemble a low-cost design platform for as little as $500 - $1000. Making it is now possible for engineers and designers to satisfy their entrepreneurial yearnings with very little out-of-pocket expense. An earlier blog post titled "Netbooks + Freemium Software = Low Cost Design Platform" explains how.

Successful Alibre Design Entrepreneurs
Alibre just finished exhibiting at the 2009 Pacific Design and Manufacturing Show. We were pleased to see that the exhibitors and attendees were upbeat in spite of the down economy. Show floor traffic was not quite as high as last year, but it was pretty good nonetheless. Rapid Prototyping vendors and service bureaus had a lot of traffic, as did the Medical Design and Manufacturing exhibit area.

We were also gratified that many Alibre customers stopped by the booth to talk to us about how they are using our product. Our customers have a lot in common with each other. Many of them are small business owners that are also the primary product innovator and designer for their company. They have literally taken their product ideas and turned them into successful companies.

Another common theme is customers that use ExpensiveCAD at work who have discovered that Alibre Design is the perfect CAD choice for their own consulting business or for creating that breakthrough product they have always dreamed of.

One Alibre customer, Jon Henderson, President of Sienco, Inc. (www.sienco.com) even brought a recently designed and manufactured medical measurement device by our booth to show us. Stephen Luse President of Ortho Kinetics, JoeCardoza President of EZ Connector Inc., and John Sylora President of Universal Multimedia Inc. all came by, as did many others. All in all, many great examples of entrepreneurial engineers living the dream of creating and manufacturing products that form the backbone of their successful businesses.

March 11, 2009

Customer to SolidWorks - Alibre is Better!

We received an unsolicited email from a customer today and he gave us permission to publish it. The identity of the SolidWorks VAR was removed.


From: Ralph Hilton
Date: March 11, 2009 2:16:12 PM MDT
To: XXXXX XXXXX
Subject: Re: SolidWorks 2009

Dear XXXXX,

After receiving a quote on your overpriced software last spring, I purchased Alibre for about $1,400.00 (includes maintenance and a load of plugins).

I have about 2,500 hours experience on SolidWorks and I've got to tell you, I much prefer Alibre (about 600 hrs experience).

It is much easier to use, and I have been very pleased at the 3D models and drawings I have been able to generate!  The Bill of Materials generator is MUCH better and manually flexible.

ALGOR FEA, which is included in the above price is very powerful and runs as good if not better than COSMOS Express.

The built in help system is much better written and actually helps a user like myself.

Their phone support (rarely needed) has been immediately available and accurate.

I'm so happy that you have some real competition, if only more people knew about Alibre, I think you guys would be in a run for your lives.

Have a great day.

Regards,

Ralph Hilton PSE
Hilton Engineering Inc.


> On Mar 11, 2009, at 11:32 AM, XXXXX XXXXX wrote:

> Good morning Ralph,

> This is XXXXXX from XXXXXXX, your local vendor for
> SolidWorks. 

> Because companies are looking to be aggressive right now,
> XXXXXX and SolidWorks are offering some monumental savings
> and great financing promotions on new software. This makes
> right now an excellent time to look at SolidWorks, add
> additional seats, or just get more information.

> If there is anything I can help you with please let me know.

> Best regards,
> XXXXX XXXXX | XXXXXXXX


March 10, 2009

Conspicuous Frugality

A secular change in attitude is sweeping the country, replacing conspicuous consumption with conspicuous frugality. From big business to mom and pop, it's smart and trendy now to save money, ask for discounts, and shop for bargains. As the stock market sinks and unempGreen bagloyment rises, today's status symbol is the hot deal.

It seems like only yesterday that conversations in the office and the mall centered on new houses, new cars, private schools, and planned summer vacations. Now folks openly admit stock market losses while proudly boasting of self-reliant lifestyles and making do with less.

The thrifty mood of the country, prompted by a deepening recession, is helping Alibre take advantage of our penny-pinching ways. We were frugal before it was cool, and now we can see a growing appreciation for our approach among customers.

During the boom years, Alibre was sort of like the Rodney Dangerfield of 3D CAD, we couldn’t get any respect. Companies would learn about Alibre, check out our product, learn that we could do the job and then buy SolidWorks or Inventor anyway. When asked why they would say “my boss doesn’t understand how Alibre can be so inexpensive” or that they “wanted to make the popular choice to use what others were using” or that “cost was not a factor.”

During the last few months the conversations have changed, now we are much more likely to hear, “we were looking at Solidworks, but there is no way we will spend that kind of money.” This is especially true of companies that need to buy multiple design seats. With our recent 2 for 1 seat sale, companies could by 5 seats of Alibre Design for ~$3,000 including maintenance, whereas 5 seats of Solidworks with maintenance would have cost $30,000.

And with recent addition of Alibre Translate, companies can be successful with their older CAD files and take advantage of Alibre’s Professional, Affordable 3D CAD.

A factor of 10 in a down economy is pretty compelling.

February 17, 2009

Netbooks + Freemium Software = Low Cost Design Platform

Free Money Ralph Grabowski, Editor of the upFront eZine and the WorldCAD blog, picked up on “The Future of 3D CAD Software Pricing” blog from last month in his article titled “Can Low-Cost CAD Benefit from These Spartan Times?” He also linked to an interesting article in the New York Times titled “ $200 Laptops Break a Business Model.” Then the Wall St. Journal quickly followed with an article called “The Economics of Giving it Away.”

While Ralph and I often don’t see eye-to-eye, I do appreciate his entrepreneurial spirit, and willingness to raise topics that are uncomfortable for the ExpensiveCAD vendors. Unlike most major US publications, you don’t find much “Separation of Church and State” between the editorial and the advertising departments at CAD publications, so it is rare to find a journalist like Ralph in the CAD business.

Reading these articles got me thinking about the concept of a next generation, but “low cost”, CAD platform. The history of the CAD software business, even more so than other software businesses is closely linked to specific computing platforms. Think CATIA / Mainframes, ComputerVision / Minicomputers, Pro/E / Unix Workstation, SolidWorks / Windows PC. The mainstream CAD product of a technology generation is the product best suited for the computing paradigm of that generation.

Historically, it has always been a struggle to get enough performance in a computing platform. In most generations the platforms have been underpowered, resulting in limitation in features and capacity of the design applications.  Recently, mainstream computing platforms have caught up with and are now surpassing the performance needs of even high-end 3D CAD design.

Now, we have entered the realm of Netbooks and Freemium software that together define an emerging technology platform that is characterized by affordability, accessibility, and ease of use. As David Title says in “$200 Laptops Break a Business Model”, “We’ve reached one of those moments in tech history when there are low-priced and free alternatives that are both user-friendly and reliable enough to make the switch. Then there’s the extra bonus of saving some cash.”

Most current Netbooks are still a bit underpowered for 3D CAD, but are probably sufficient for 2D. Ralph Grabowski has been running AutoCAD 2D on his Netbook and describes his experience here. Netbook performance is advancing rapidly, but a $500 laptop is probably a better choice for 3D CAD today. Alibre has been purchasing $500 laptops for all of our employees, except for the software developers, who are still using desktops. However, we are only spending about $500 for each of those and we get faster processors, larger hard drives, and better graphics instead of paying a portability premium.

Low Cost Design Platform Components
It is actually quite surprising how much choice you have in low cost design platform components. Here is a brief summary by major component area:

Operating systems - if you want to do 3D design you are going to have to use a Windows operating system. Windows XP works best on low cost / low memory machines, but Windows Vista is a good option if you are buying a recent desktop or full-size laptop. Vista has gotten a bad rap, but I like it, and expect Microsoft to regain their reputation with Windows 7, which is also expected to be available in a Netbook version.

Personal computers - PC Magazine recommends the MSI Wind and the Lenovo IdeaPad as two of the best Netbook choices and both of these come with Windows XP and cost less than $500. There are also a lot of full-size laptop choices in the $500 range. If portability is not a determining factor for you, then a desktop will give you more computing power for your money, and the extra oomph may be just what you need for more complex 3D modeling assignments. Plus you have a lot more choices in desktops, which powerful $500 computers available from Dell, HP, and Gateway. CNET.com has an extensive set of reviews of desktop computing choices.
 
Hard Disk / Local Data Storage – most of the Netbooks are severely limited in hard disk storage, but you can easily overcome this with the addition of high capacity USB storage drives. A 64GB USB drive can be had for between $130 and $200 each. Two of these together exceed the capacity of the most laptop hard drives.

3D Design software – there are 2 popular choices of 3D design software available with the Freemium business model, Alibre Design Xpress and Google SketchUp. Both offer a free starter package plus a premium companion product with professional features and capabilities for less than $1000. Each has its strengths, with Alibre Design Xpress the best choice for mechanical design since it offers true 3D parametric design, precision dimensioning, and manufacturability. Google SketchUp is great for non-manufacturing applications such as architectural, interior, landscape, and general visual graphics design. 

Free 2D software  – DoubleCAD is a new Freemium product from IMSI, the makers of TurboCAD. Solid Edge 2D Drafting, is a free product available from Siemens (formerly Unigraphics).

Rendering software – Free rendering software choices include Indigo, Kerkythea, Blender, and POVRAY.

Product data management – M-Files Express is available directly from Motive Systems. They also provide the technology underlying the Alibre Vault. M-Files Express organizes data on your hard drive and provides basic, check-in, checkout and version control capabilities. There are also several choices of free online storage that lets you map online storage as an external drive. These include tools like Gmail Drive and services like Box.net. Plus Google is expected to enter the market with Gdrive later this year.

Free 3D parts libraries – You can find extensive free and online mechanical oriented parts libraries in 3DContentCentral and TraceParts. 3DContentCentral has the broadest selection of vendors and products. Alibre includes the TraceParts part libraries in Alibre Design Professional and Expert and all Alibre products are compatible with 3DContentCentral. Google also offers Google 3D Warehouse as a storage location and source of 3D models that are compatible with SketchUp.

Pervasive broadband Internet – broadband Internet is now available to most US homes and is often included as a low cost option from cable TV, telephone, and mobile wireless providers. The ultimate in low-cost broadband is free Wi-Fi, which can be found in most US cities and is easily located through websites such as www.openwifispots.com and www.wififreespots.com.

Web-based productivity software – Google offers Google Apps, which includes word processor, spreadsheet, presentation graphics, email, and mapping programs. For small business and personal finance free products such as Quicken Online, Mint, and MySpendingPlan are available.

Bottom Line
I am not really trying to get you to run Alibre Design or other 3D CAD programs on a Netbook, although it is possible to do so. Most people that buy a Netbook, will do so because of their extreme portability combined with their very low cost. They are hard to beat for Internet browsing and watching downloaded videos on the road.

However, the Netbook phenomenon does illustrate how far we have come in affordable personal computing. You can rest assured that it won’t be long, perhaps another year or so, before you really can run high-end 3D CAD on a Netbook. Even then, most 3D designers will choose a large screen laptop or desktop with a flat screen monitor for the larger visual modeling and viewing area.

The point is that technology prices for CAD hardware and software continue to decline, except in the land of ExpensiveCAD where the CEO’s continue to brag of every increasing Average Selling Prices. Improving price performance means that 3D CAD platforms are more affordable, leading to increased utilization of 3D CAD by a broader set of more innovative companies and individuals. And that is a good thing.

January 13, 2009

The Future of 3D CAD Software Pricing

I have seen the writing on the wall, 
don't think I need anything at all.
All in all it was all just bricks in the wall.
Pink Floyd – The Wall

Many people are wondering how the global recession will impact CAD software companies.  After all manufacturing is one of the hardest hit segments, and manufacturing companies are the largest consumers of high-end CAD software.

So far the news is not good. PTC just announced that they would miss earnings estimates and CEO C. Richard Harrison said, “The global economic situation has impacted our financial results.” He also said the shortfall was due to reduced license sales in all major geographies.

Wall street

Autodesk and Dassault Systemes, also both missed expectations in their most recent quarters. At that time, Autodesk said they had seen a “sharp downturn, a dramatic fall off in demand in all geographies” and Dassault reported “a fairly large sequential drop in SolidWorks units” and a 2% decline in revenue.

In addition, S&P Equity Research said it expects demand for new CAD licenses to worsen in the next several quarters on lower worldwide manufacturing activity.

What Happens Now?
We are in for a rough time in 2009, even if only the moderate-case predictions come true. Worst-case, poor conditions could continue through 2010 or later.

The large CAD software companies have been primary beneficiaries of the boom cycle during the last 15 years. During the early stages of the recession, through mid 2008, they continued to benefit due to a rapidly declining US dollar.

Now the stage is set for a significant reversal of fortune. Dassault Systems, Autodesk, and PTC all have huge infrastructures that require high-priced, high margin revenue to afford. They are geographically dispersed, with sales, marketing, and development offices spread around the world. Most of them have expensive direct sales forces and broadly deployed sales partners. This whole edifice is going to be under enormous pressure.

You can be certain that cost cutting is already underway with marketing, advertising, trade shows, and contract positions the first casualties. Further consolidation seems inevitable, likely starting with layoff announcements of 10-20% in the next month or two. This will be followed by less publicly acknowledged reductions in office space and facilities. More worrisome is the potential for a second or third round of cutbacks if the worst-case economic scenarios develop.

Most of the employees of these companies have never known anything but boom times and are totally unprepared to undergo the dramatic cost reductions and downsizing that will occur.  Company culture, a fragile thing, will suffer.

3D CAD Software Pricing History

We wrote about the Evolution of 3D CAD previously. In light of the growing impact of the recession on manufacturing companies and their suppliers, lets take another look at where we have been.

1970 – CATIA / Mainframe - $1,000,000
1980 – ComputerVision / Minicomputer - $100,000
1985 – Pro/Engineer / Workstation - $20,000
1995 – SolidWorks / PC - $5,000

Every decade for the last 50 years, there has been a significant shift in the CAD software market that was driven by rapid improvements in computing price performance. Interestingly, the price of CAD software also very closely matched the cost of the hardware it ran on. It is hard to believe that companies paid over a million dollars a seat for CAD software in the 70’s.

Now it is 2009 and the economy is facing the deepest recession since the Great Depression. Today you can buy a high-end CAD computer for $1000 and yet we are still stuck paying $5,000 a seat for SolidWorks, Inventor, and Pro/E.  The average selling prices of these products continue to increase with SolidWorks worldwide average selling prices approaching $7,000. To add insult to injury AutoDesk recently increased the price of AutoCAD LT, their low-end 2D software, again and it now costs more than $1,000.

Breaking Free
The CAD software industry is stuck in a pricing and business model that no longer makes sense, especially considering the slowing economy and the dire need for companies to reduce costs and conserve cash.  The natural inclination for all businesses is to seek improved profit margins, but rather than using process and technology innovations, the CAD software companies want to increase prices.Tear down the wall

In order to justify these higher prices, the CAD companies add complex new features and extensions that overburden the product, cluttering the user interface and making them harder to learn.

Large CAD software companies also seek to maintain their dominant positions by locking customers in, making it difficult or impossible for them to switch to a competitive product. One of the ways that they do this is through proprietary file formats. In addition, they also use long-term software subscriptions and maintenance contracts, so that customers cannot easily reduce usage even in a downturn.

However, there is also a long-term trend away from large-scale vertically integrated manufacturers, and the recession will only cause this to accelerate, resulting in the proliferation of consultants, independent design companies and small manufacturing job shops. As this occurs, the founders and employees of these new companies will look for lower cost CAD software that can get the job done without the added expense of unnecessary bells and whistles.

With many manufacturing companies cutting work schedules and staff in response to the recession, the design engineers affected will turn to other lower cost 3D design products like Alibre Design for moonlighting and entrepreneurial efforts. After all it is not likely that a designer facing cuts in personal income can afford to spend $5,000 for SolidWorks, Pro/E, or Inventor for his or her own use.

Best-Cost CAD
In the current economy, customers are becoming much more price and value sensitive. Only Alibre is positioned to take advantage of this with average selling prices of $1,000 a seat for our design software.

Our strategy is to give customers more value for the money, and to do so by making a product with high-end features available at a lower cost. We call this strategy the “Best-cost” strategy because it combines a strategic emphasis on creating the “Best” product with a strategic emphasis on providing it at the lowest possible “Cost”.

We believe the key to success is to closely match our competitors on key product attributes while also beating them on price. Consequently, we have developed the organizational skills to both increase product features and manage costs down.

Alibre’s approach is to strive relentlessly to become a lower and lower cost provider of a better and better product, with the intent of becoming both the CAD software industry’s lowest cost producer and, simultaneously, the CAD software industry’s overall best product.

The Easiest CAD Company to do Business With
In addition, we are dedicated to being the easiest CAD software company to do business with. This starts with making our software fast and lightweight, yet very easy and simple to use.

Alibre also believes in making our products and company easy to access. Many customers find us through the Internet, via a search engine, or by word-of-mouth. And unlike our competitors our prospects can quickly find, download, install, and learn our products quickly and easily. The products include built-in help systems and extensive tutorials.

Finally to make the products easy to buy, we offer telephone and online sales, interest free monthly payment plans, and a 30-day money back guarantee. Customers also receive telephone and online support along with both video and instructor lead online training.

Alibre’s Outlook
All companies are impacted by the recession and Alibre feels it as well. However, we are already a very lean and cost efficient company with a finely honed low-cost business model.

We rely on the Internet for marketing, sales and product distribution. We have over 150 Value Added Resellers worldwide, but do not have any infrastructure or employee investment outside of the United States. All of our employees are located at our headquarters in Texas.

The only physical products we manufacture are DVD’s and manuals for customers who are willing to pay extra for hardcopy and offline backups.

Arguably we are positioned to benefit, or at least suffer less, than our large CAD competitors.

Is it possible that the overpriced status quo in the CAD software business is an artifact of the economic boom of the last 15 years, and that the $1,000 price point is the next mainstream? Alibre thinks so, now all we need is for engineers and designers to put us to the test.

December 16, 2008

Innovation and Job Creation

 “It is all up to us entrepreneurs. It’s the small businesses
that are going to get America back on its feet again.”
Richard Branson – Founder, Virgin Group Ltd.

Small Business Loan

Alibre Design customers are a very diverse group. They work for companies of all sizes, creating just about every imaginable product. Many are self-employed or work part time on the side doing design or manufacturing consulting. Working with these customers and learning about the innovative businesses and products that they have created is one of the most enjoyable aspects of working at Alibre.

Unfortunately, the employment picture in the United States has dimmed in the last year, with the number of jobs declining for 11 months in a row. However, Mechanical Engineering is one of the jobs least likely to be affected by a recession.

According to the Jobfox Top 25 Most Recession-Proof U.S. Job Candidates: October 2008 survey, Mechanical Engineering is the 9th most recession proof career, so mechanical engineers and designers are less likely to suffer during this economic downturn.

Small Business Job Creation
Depending on which statistics you use, between 70 and 90 percent of all new jobs in our country are created by small businesses.

According to the Office of Advocacy of the U.S. Small Business Administration (SBA), small businesses created 1.9 million jobs in 2004 (the most recent year for which they studied job creation.) Other notable statistics from an Oct. 2007 report from the Office of Advocacy include these:

·      In 2006, there were estimated 26.8 million small businesses, of which 6.1 million were employer firms. In other words, 20 million small businesses in the country have no employees.
·      Small businesses employed 50.9 percent of the nation’s non-farm private workforce in 2004.

You can look at what is going on in the economy and easily become depressed. But what sitting around depressed accomplish? You didn’t cause it, you can’t control it, and you can’t cure it. All you can really do is accept the things you can’t change and focus on changing those that you can. It is times like these that the entrepreneurial spirit of designers and engineers really shines, because just by focusing on the things that we do best, making great products and building innovative businesses that create new jobs, we can do more to help ourselves than all of the bailouts in Washington.

Most mechanical designers and engineer’s dream of creating products that make a positive difference in the world. At Alibre we dream of creating great product development software that enables engineers to turn their great ideas into great products. We are very much into entrepreneurship, and empowering product creation for thousands of budding entrepreneurs means that we get the satisfaction of seeing our work amplified by orders of magnitude.

My Experience as an Entrepreneur
Alibre is my second software company. The first, Micrografx, began operation in 1983, went public in 1990 and went on to become a global software provider with $100M in revenue and over 400 employees. I left Micrografx in 1996 and waited about a year before starting Alibre.

For as long as I can remember, I wanted to work for myself and really couldn’t envision working for any of the companies in my home town of Cape Girardeau, Missouri. Cape is a town of about 30,000 people; slightly smaller today than it was when I left for college about 40 years ago. When I was growing up, I did the normal things that kids of middle class parents do to earn money. I mowed yards, shoveled snow, waited tables, and washed dishes. When I looked around, I saw mostly small retail businesses that were family owned and I just couldn’t imagine spending my whole life working for someone else’s family business.

Fortunately, Cape has a small teachers college (where my father was an English professor) and they had just initiated a computer science program. As a teenager, I loved science fiction, especially stories about space travel and robots, so when I began contemplating college and career, I chose computer science because it was closest thing offered.

After college, I worked as a software developer and software development manager for about 8 years. While working for other companies, I told myself I was in training for the day when I would have my own company and continuously tried to think of product concepts and inventions that I could create.

Lessons from Entrepreneurship Class
While working in St. Louis, I attended night school toearn a Master’s degree at Washington University. Their program was great, because it allowed me to take both engineering and business classes.

I soon learned that Wash. U. offered an Entrepreneurship class. And it turned out to be the most memorable. The big semester project involved coming up with an idea for a new company and then pitching it to the class members. After the pitches we would all vote on the best ideas and then join one of the winning ideas. Needless to say, I pitched starting a software company, which no one but me got excited about, and I ended up on a team to start an Indoor Soccer club.

During the semester we were fortunate to have several successful entrepreneurs come to the class and present their stories. A consistent theme was the difficulty of raising money and how it was almost impossible unless you had done it before. As the semester came to an end, that was one lesson that stuck with me.

Identifying an Opportunity
Well obviously that didn’t stop me. I just had to look for examples of other people that had started companies without any financial backing and then try to think of how I could apply what they did to my situation. I decided to take a job in California in 1980 and was immediately immersed in the “Anything is Possible” mentality of the Silicon Valley. As I studied the companies there, it was striking how many had been started without significant backing and in their garages, like HP and Apple.

At about the same time, IBM announced the Personal Computer, and the Wall St. Journal pronounced it the “Greatest Entrepreneurial Opportunity of the Twentieth Century.”  This was what I was waiting for, but the pressure was intense. What could I do myself, without external funding, that we let me realize my dreams?

Developing the Product
I bought an IBM PC, on credit, from the local IBM office. I starting using it and teaching myself to program on it, all the while hoping and praying for an inspiration.

In my day job, I was a software developer and often had to prepare flowcharts and other diagrams to use in project proposals and documentation. They were always drawn by hand before being given to the Graphics Department to turn into professional-looking documents. The hand drawing process was laborious and piles of crumpled up attempts grew under my desk. Finally, I would have a clean draft that I could take to Graphics. They always had a backlog and it could take weeks to get the final drawings. Inevitably there were errors, or more likely the project had changed and the original drawings were now obsolete.

I noticed how coworkers were using the new PC’s for word processing and spreadsheets, while I continued to crumple hand drawings. Then it occurred to me, what the world really needed, what I really needed was a computerized drawing program.

Making the Leap
Well, that was it. I thought about it overnight and woke the next morning convinced that this was THE IDEA. I enlisted my brother George and we started working on what became known as PC Draw, the first drawing program for the IBM PC. George and I wrote the code for PC Draw on nights and weekends while continuing to work at our day jobs. We were able to get a free listing in the first issue of PC Magazine and we started receiving phone calls about 2 months before the first version was ready. We actually had orders before it shipped.

About the same time, I was amazed to receive an unsolicited offer for $5,000 in unsecured credit from Citibank Visa in the mail. Up until then, I had never dreamed that anyone would loan me that kind of money. I accepted the offer and we had our start up funding.

By then, my company had relocated me to Dallas where George and I converted the garage of my leased house into an office, extending the air conditioning ducts, putting down carpets, and painting the walls ourselves.

We decided that George would quit his day job first and he started selling PC Draw in January. To our amazement people liked it and bought it. I quit my job in February and we both began working full time for ourselves.

Reflections on Starting and Managing Companies
I have worked for myself for over 25 years; 14 at Micrografx and 11 at Alibre. I wouldn’t trade the experience for anything in the world. Here are five things for you to consider when starting your own company:

1. Decide what are you interested in
Entrepreneurship is not just about building a large company and making lots of money. Instead, it should be about doing something that really interests you, where you feel you can make a difference. The journey really is the greatest reward, so make it an enjoyable experience by picking something you love.

2. Imagine your dream job  
You will need a founding team with complimentary personalities and skills to build a successful company. Decide how you can contribute the most and in what role you can make the biggest difference. Even though you want to have good exposure to all the different functional areas of a business, identifying a particular function that gives you the most satisfaction is very important.

3. Look at other start-ups in your field
There are start-ups being formed every day and there is a good chance that you can identify some in your area of interest and research the best ones. This is much easier now than it used to be, all you need is a computer with an Internet connection and you can do very thorough research on what other companies are doing in your field. But don’t stop there, if possible visit local businesses or retailers that carry or use products in the area you are interested in. Focus on what you know and look for things that seem to be missing. What types of problems do you encounter everyday in your current position? Often something in your personal experience is the best source of a new product idea.

4. How will you pay for it?
This may be the biggest hurdle for any new company, and in today’s economy the alternatives are more limited and potential investors much more conservative. The best approach is to finance it yourself with savings, help from close relatives, or borrowing on credit cards or mortgages. The key is to have a product or service that you can start selling immediately to generate cash flow and to make the company self-funding without additional capital contributions from your wallet. Once you are up and running, with positive cash flow, banks and investors become realistic alternatives.

5.  Making the leap
If possible, start your new venture as a part time job while continuing your other employment. If you are working with partners, have each partner leave their previous position one at a time so that your new company is not hit with everyone’s payroll at once. Be prepared to sacrifice for 6 months to a year, you will almost certainly take a pay cut at first. You may have to juggle personal finances and delay payments beyond the comfort zone to make it through the first few months until cash flow is strong enough to pay you close to your previous salary.

Is it the Worst Time or the Best Time to Start a Business?
You will hear a lot of good reasons why this is the worst possible time to start a business. The economy is slow and money is tight, businesses and individuals are cutting back on spending. I know I heard the exact same reasons when I started Micrografx during the recession of the early 80’s.

Ask yourself, what will happen if I fail? Is it really that scary? In 1983, if Micrografx failed, I would have had to go back to work for another company as a software developer, and software development jobs were plentiful. Not a huge downside. If you are a talented mechanical designer or engineer, likely the worst that will happen to you is that you will have to get another similar job working for a different company.

Once you make the leap, it is all up to you and what matters most is your attitude, your faith in your idea and your belief in yourself. If you believe you will succeed and you work hard every day to achieve it then it will come. What you believe, what you commit to, and your perseverance will be the deciding factors, not what is going on in the environment around you.

Truthfully, there never been a better time to start your own company. With little more than a computer, an Internet connection, and a cell phone, you can begin your right from your home. With the ability to create and analyze 3D virtual prototypes on your own computer, send your designs online to a rapid prototyping shop, create virtual teams, and outsource manufacturing; you can keep your overhead down and grow your business with minimal upfront investment.

If you are successful, your life and your career will be greatly enriched and you will have the satisfaction of knowing that you did all you could to create jobs and help rebuild the economy.

November 17, 2008

Make Yourself!

 Pogo

“If you really want to live, why not try and make yourself”

Lyrics by Incubus

The modern world we occupy is all invented; everything we experience outside of nature has been created, designed, and manufactured. Since everything is invented, we might as well choose to invent things that improve our lives and those around us. Now, more than ever, you have the need and opportunity to “Make Yourself” in ways that benefit your family, your communities, and yourselves.

 

According to Bill Maher, host of “Real Time with Bill Maher” in a recent Salon.com interview, “the root problem, I think, is that Americans stopped making stuff. We used to make cars, houses, furniture. We were a manufacturing country. Now we just push numbers around on a computer screen. It's all about debt and margins and short-selling. Eventually that house of cards is going to come down.”

 

Well, that house of cards is definitely coming down, which means that engineers are needed more than ever to rebuild it, not out of cardboard this time, but out of industrial strength materials.

 

A Raging Rapid

Clearly, we are in a challenging environment that is causing major dislocations for thousands of manufacturing and design engineers. Many companies and people are experiencing a feeling of hopelessness and powerlessness that makes them very uncomfortable. It is kind of like falling out of a boat during a white water expedition. All of a sudden you are cold, wet, gasping for breath, and looking around for someone to save you.

 

I don’t know if this has ever happened to you, either suddenly finding yourself dislocated from the bearings of your career or out of the boat in raging rapids. I have experienced both and they are quite uncomfortable. Without warning your illusion of control and power is swept away and you realize that you are at the mercy of the elements, be they cold wet water or an economic tempest. Later, when you have time to reflect on what just happened you realize that you were never really in control and in fact that you are powerless to absolutely manage your situation and your life in every circumstance. Things can in fact change quickly and without warning.

 

Humans naturally tend to think that they are in a stable situation, that the sun comes up every day, that they drive to work in the same traffic patterns, do the same tasks every day, but never realizing that everything is in constant flux and that feelings of power and control are simply illusions made possible by the stability of the moment. The only thing certain in life (besides death and taxes) is change and change happens whether we are ready for it or not.

 

If you go on a white water rafting trip your guide will caution you about what to do if you fall out of the boat, and it is actually fairly simple advice. They will say something like “If you fall out of the boat, it is very important that you pull your feet up so that you don’t get a foot caught in the rocks below. Think toes to nose and then look for the boat. If you can’t reach the boat, face downstream, floating on your back with your feet just under the surface, knees bent, and your bottom as the lowest point of your body. Look downstream for an opportunity to guide yourself to the bank and just go with the flow until you can reach shore, the rapids don’t go on forever.”

 

I think this is actually pretty good advice for life in general. Realize that your situation may seem stable and comfortable, but in reality life is a ride down the rapids and we could fall out of the boat at any time. If you fall out of the boat in your business or personal life, pull your feet up, face downstream, and go with the flow, guiding yourself to dry land. Even though you are cold and wet, you are alive and you now have the opportunity to reengage the river of life.

 

Scarcity and Abundance

Here is a little story about how important perspective is to the recognition of opportunity.

 

A shoe factory sends two marketing representatives to a region of Africa to study the prospects for expanding business.

 One sends back an email saying, “Situation hopeless, no one wears shoes!”

The other writes back triumphantly, “Glorious business opportunity, they have no shoes!”

 

Most experiences in life are like this story, there are always two ways to look at things, and the glass can be half-empty or half-full. We can be a victim of scarcity or a beneficiary of abundance. Life can be a zero-sum game or offer infinite possibilities. Unexpected and unwelcome change reminds us that we are not truly in control and that the only thing we can truly change is ourselves.

 

If you are a manufacturing or design engineer you can contribute to the health and wealth of the economy through your unique ability to conceive, design, and manufacture innovative new products, product improvements, and manufacturing processes that are an essential driving element of entrepreneurial capitalism.

 

The tools of the trade, modern 3D CAD software like Alibre Design, enable engineers like you to create three dimensional virtual prototypes of physical products that they want to make. Engineers are able to precisely create three dimensional parts and assemble them into complete working models prior to making a physical prototype. Various product configurations and analyses can be completed on the computer to validate the design before spending a single dollar to manufacture. This means that ideas can be turned into reality much faster and less expensively than by manual design and manufacturing techniques.

 

Until recently powerful 3D design software was almost completely out of the reach of small companies and average designers due to its cost and complexity. Thankfully, we are now living in a new world of abundantly available personal computers and broadband Internet connections. Powerful PCs capable of running 3D CAD software are now available for $500 or less instead of the $5,000 to $10,000 cost of only a few years ago.

 

And even more importantly, powerful 3D design software can be downloaded and used for free over the Internet thanks to companies like Google and Alibre, two of the leading providers of completely free 3D design software. Both companies employ a “Freemium” business model which enables customers to download a highly functional and completely “Free” starter version of their design solutions and then upgrade to a paid “Premium” version if their needs span commercial opportunities.

 

Google offers Google SketchUp, a 3D design program best suited for architectural and interior and exterior design while Alibre offers Alibre Design Xpress, a 3D design program that is best suited for mechanical design of precise parts and assemblies. And customers won’t break their budgets when they move up to the premium versions: both Google and Alibre sell their commercial products for $1,000 or less instead of the $5,000 to $10,000 cost traditionally associated with 3D design programs.

 

What this means is that engineers regardless of budget now have access to powerful 3D design programs that enables them to take their ideas and turn them into reality, creating innovative new products, new companies, and new careers for themselves and jobs for their employees.

 

A New Reality

So, in spite of the many far-reaching social and cultural implications of the current economic crisis, I am optimistic.  For the first time in my memory businesses and individuals will be forced to put their goals and objectives, their plans and desires into perspective. The age of excess is over, and our economy will have to restore its balance and focus on necessities and not just desires. And entrepreneurs that start and run small businesses will be the driving force.

 

I believe that this new reality will penetrate our psyches and forever change our perspective so that we may move forward and rebuild our economy and society based on real and lasting value.

October 20, 2008

It's the Economy, Stupid!

DJIA  

 

"A penny saved is a penny earned" - Benjamin Franklin

 

“It’s the Economy, STUPID!” was a phrase widely used during Bill Clinton's successful 1992 presidential campaign. In order to keep the campaign on message, the Clintons hung a sign with this phrase in their Little Rock campaign headquarters. The economy had recently undergone a recession and “It’s the Economy, Stupid” became a filter for everything that the Clinton campaign said and did.

 

This phrase is gaining political and cultural currency once again, as the US economy appears to be slipping into a deep recession and Americans are about to go to the polls to elect a President. In fact, I believe that “It’s the Economy, STUPID” is fast becoming the watch phrase by which businesses and consumers alike are filtering their financial and purchasing decisions.

 

Frugality is Fact

Two months ago I wrote about how Frugality was suddenly becoming fashionable. Well folk’s, it’s not just fashionable anymore, it is FACT and that hard, cold reality is proven daily by the drumbeat of bad economic news.

 

Frankly, people are scared. Their 401K’s are down 40-50% and they face vanishing jobs, shrinking paychecks and nest eggs, and slumping home values.  Sales at the nation's retailers fell with a thud in September, dropping by 1.2 percent, the most in three years. Uncertainty about the economy -- and their own financial fortunes -- probably will force consumers and businesses alike to hunker down further, spelling more problems for the already troubled economy.

 

According to a recent Fortune Magazine article, even Google is going frugal “Gone are the search giant’s free-spending ways… The prospect of a severe economic slowdown has forced Google to act fiscally responsible.” Suddenly, businesses and consumers have gotten religious about the impact of the economy on themselves. No longer is it just something that is affecting other people.

 

CAD Software through the Economic Filter

If you are in the manufacturing or design business and not planning on going out of business or retiring, then CAD software is an absolute necessity. CAD software is a critical tool of your trade; you can no more stop using CAD software than a photographer can stop using a camera. CAD software is a productivity tool; you should actually increase your use of it in an economic downturn.

 

If you are still using AutoCAD and haven’t switched from 2D to 3D, then now is the time. Switching to 3D is probably the single most important thing you can do to increase your productivity. Increased productivity in design and manufacturing is the equivalent of a revenue increase, since you get more work done using fewer resources and less time.  You will be able to bid on more jobs or just reduce your overhead.

 

Several months ago Alibre asked customers who formerly used AutoCAD to answer a series of questions regarding the impact of switching to Alibre Design on their productivity. The results of the AutoCAD to Alibre Design Transition Survey included:

·         Most people were long time AutoCAD users, with 90% using it more than 4 years

·         Most people saved 1.5 hours per day per engineer using 3D CAD versus AutoCAD

·         Most people saw an average cost savings over the life of a project of 19% using Alibre Design versus AutoCAD

·         The vast majority of designers (84%) who made the switch are happy they did

·         The vast majority of designers (86%) consider Alibre to be much better than Autodesk in taking care of the customer

 

So by simply switching from AutoCAD 2D to Alibre Design 3D you can save almost 20% of the time and money that you spend on design projects everyday and put that 20% saving in your pocket or invest it in expanding your business. At least that’s what all the people who made the switch tell us.

 

Which 3D CAD product is the Best for Mechanical Design?

SolidWorks, Solid Edge, Inventor, Pro/E, CATIA, and NX (Unigraphics) all claim to be technically superior mechanical design programs. Like Alibre Design, they offer feature-based parametric design and have their own version of direct editing (non-history based).

 

SolidWorks is generally recognized as the most popular mechanical CAD program. But is it really technically superior to the others? And more significantly, is technical superiority a critical issue in choosing CAD software today? All of these products, including Alibre Design, can create almost any product design that an engineer can conceive of.

 

So what makes a product the “Best”? Most people would come to pick the best by asking themselves several questions. Does it get the job done? Can I do what I need to do efficiently? Can I give it to all the people that need it? Will it destroy my budget? For me personally, it is the passion, the desire, and the commitment of the company and its developers to create a higher and higher caliber product. This is an attribute that Alibre shares with these other companies.

 

Of course, it is true that you can be at least 20% more productive than AutoCAD 2D using any modern 3D CAD system, be it SolidWorks, Inventor, Solid Edge, Pro/E, CATIA, NX or Alibre Design. However, Alibre Design is the only one that saves you thousands to reinvest in your business, or just put in the bank. Alibre Design costs less than 20% of the cost of SolidWorks or Inventor, so rather than spending $4,000 to $5,000 per seat for 3D CAD software, you can spend $1,000 for Alibre Design. At $1,000, Alibre Design even costs less than AutoCAD LT.

 

Want to compare the costs of using Alibre Design to these other products? Then download our Total Cost of Ownership Calculator to calculate your savings, including the often substantial extra costs of maintenance and training. If you are considering buying multiple seats your savings grow exponentially.

 

In addition, Alibre offers an interest free monthly payment plan that enables customers to purchase Alibre Design for less than $85 per month over a 12 month period (total cost $1,000). Compare this to SolidWorks recent “Interest Free” offer of $199 per month for 36 months (total cost $7,164).

 

Save Money Even if you Buy Our Competitors Software

In this economy, it would be criminal to pay more for CAD software than is truly required.

 

So how can Alibre reduce the price you pay for SolidWorks, Inventor, Solid Edge, Pro/E, CATIA, and NX? Take a serious look at Alibre Design as a low cost alternative to the other much more expensive products. Download our 30 Day Trial, (or view a Gallery of real world designs) put Alibre Design to the test, and ask us for a quote. Prove to yourself whether Alibre Design can do the job or not. If it can, then you should buy Alibre. If Alibre Design cannot meet your requirements, just take our quote to the competitors CAD sales person and tell them that you are considering switching to Alibre Design. I guarantee you they will cut their prices to keep you from buying Alibre.